According to the latest forecasts by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the likelihood of a strong 'super' El Niño phenomenon emerging in 2026 is increasing. El Niño is a natural climate event formed by surface temperatures in the tropical regions of the Pacific Ocean being above average, affecting global weather patterns. NOAA's report expects Pacific surface temperatures to rise by at least 1.5 degrees Celsius this year, which could signal a strong effect known as a 'super' El Niño.
During past super El Niño periods, especially in 2015-2016, extreme weather events such as severe hurricanes, droughts, and record temperatures were observed. This phenomenon tends to increase hurricane activity in the Pacific region while reducing the number of hurricanes in the Atlantic. Additionally, it can cause serious environmental problems like drought and water scarcity in some areas.
Emily Becker from the University of Miami states that El Niño plays an important role in influencing the global atmosphere and providing forecasts on where and how weather events will develop. This enables preparation against extreme weather conditions.
The effects of El Niño generally last between 9 and 12 months, causing significant changes in the world’s climate system. Scientists warn that the expected super El Niño this year could lead to increased global temperatures and intensified extreme weather events in various regions. However, developments need to be monitored for these predictions to be confirmed.