The new Western Balkans report submitted by the US State Department to Congress draws attention not only for what it says about Bosnia and Herzegovina but also for what it omits. While reaffirming the 1995 Dayton Peace Agreement and Bosnia's territorial integrity, the report does not mention the Office of the High Representative even once.
The prominent approach of "empowering local actors" in the document is read as a sign of moving away from the long-standing international supervision in Bosnia. Although this language points toward reducing dependence on external intervention and oversight, it does not clarify what this means for Bosnia's democratic order.
Message of Exiting the Supervision Era
The expressions in the report strengthen assessments that the era of supervision imposed on Bosnia has ended. However, the text does not provide a clear framework on what political outcomes this transformation will bring for the country's balance of power.
While the phrase "empowering local actors" may seem like a neutral technical choice, in the Bosnian context, it could mean further empowerment of the existing power structures. Particularly, concerns grow given assessments that ethno-nationalist actors in the entity known as Republika Srpska have been weakening the state structure from within for years.
Power Balances in Bosnia Fuel Debate
Another notable aspect of the text is its lack of a clear answer regarding the future of international supervision. The omission of the OHR in the report creates the impression that this institution's role in Bosnian politics is being sidelined.
This situation raises again the question of who will be decisive in decision-making processes in Bosnia. While local politicians are expected to take on more responsibility, there is no roadmap on how to balance forces that could weaken the country's institutions.
Although the report maintains Bosnia's sovereignty and the Dayton framework, uncertainty remains about the extent to which the international community will remain engaged on the ground. This keeps debates about the country's future political stability alive.