The AA Finans expectations survey for July inflation data, to be released by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TÜİK) on Monday, August 3, was concluded with the participation of 17 economists.
The average monthly inflation expectation of the economists surveyed for July was calculated at 1.82 percent. Expectations ranged between 1.35 percent and 2.10 percent.
Based on this average, annual inflation, which stood at 32.11 percent in June, is expected to decline to 31.80 percent in July.
Economists' year-end inflation expectation averaged 29.55 percent. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.99 percent on a monthly basis in June.
Expectations and actual figures for previous months
The survey data for this year, broken down by month, is as follows:
- January: Expectation 4.21%, actual 4.84%
- February: Expectation 2.87%, actual 2.96%
- March: Expectation 2.40%, actual 1.94%
- April: Expectation 3.19%, actual 4.18%
- May: Expectation 1.65%, actual 1.71%
- June: Expectation 1.04%, actual 0.99%
Economists' year-end inflation expectations were recorded as 23.73 percent in January, 24.16 percent in February, 25.91 percent in March, 28.16 percent in April, 29.40 percent in May, 29 percent in June, and 29.55 percent in July.