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- October 13, 202618°
- BIST10012,151-0.94%
- USD49.220.00%
- EUR55.21+0.28%
- GOLD4,196.40+0.14%
- INTEREST37.00%-1.00
- BITCOIN82,472-1.44%
- October 13, 202618°
Russia could reopen 80% of Black Sea grain capacity if attacks end
Russia could quickly restore up to 80% of grain terminal capacity in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov if mutual attacks with Ukraine end. Three of the region’s nine major terminals suffered heavy damage, and repairs could take months.
Russia could quickly restore up to 80% of grain terminal capacity in the Black Sea and Sea of Azov if mutual attacks with Ukraine end and a ceasefire is reached.
Reuters’ analysis, based on industry data, found that three terminals comprising approximately 20% of the region’s grain export infrastructure suffered heavy damage. Repairs at these facilities could take months.
Erdoğan’s initiative
Türkiye’s President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has been leading an international initiative involving grain-importing countries to restart Black Sea grain trade, which halted after attacks on ports and vessels in recent months.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said on September 25, 2026, that India, Egypt and other Middle Eastern countries had also joined the diplomatic effort. The Kremlin acknowledged the diplomatic contacts and said Russia was using alternative export routes during the process.
Heavy damage at three terminals
The analysis examined the condition of Russia’s nine major grain terminals in the region, as well as smaller facilities around the Sea of Azov and the Don River delta. Before the attacks, the route handled up to 70% of Russia’s grain exports.
NKHP, one of Russia’s three major grain terminals, is located at the Black Sea port of Novorossiysk and suffered heavy damage in the August 12 attack. The terminal has an annual capacity of 7.1 million tonnes, and repairs could take up to six months.
Damage at the KSK and NZT terminals in Novorossiysk was limited, and the facilities are ready to resume operations. NKHP’s operator said repairs could take up to four months.
The ZTKT terminal at the Black Sea port of Taman and the Taganrog terminal on the Sea of Azov also sustained damage and halted operations. The full extent of the damage remains unclear, while the two facilities have a combined annual capacity of 6.7 million tonnes.
ZTKT, which has an annual capacity of 5.5 million tonnes, has been unable to load grain since the July 30 attack. The timing of a resumption of operations remains uncertain.
Approximately 53 million tonnes of capacity on hold
According to the analysis, approximately 53 million tonnes of the region’s total grain terminal capacity of around 67 million tonnes is currently unusable because of security risks. These terminals could resume operations if the attacks end.
Russia is the world’s largest wheat exporter. Disruptions to shipments have pushed up global grain prices and revived concerns about food security linked to the war in Ukraine.
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