As Russia's ballistic missile attacks on cities and infrastructure increase, Ukraine requested dozens of additional Patriot interceptor missiles from Germany's existing stocks within this year. The request is based on an exchange arrangement to be later replaced with missiles to be produced in the future.
At the center of the plan is Germany immediately transferring the missiles, in return for filling this gap later with newly produced ammunition. It is reported that Berlin has not yet approved the request, but the decision may be announced before or during the NATO summit.
Russia's missile capacity increases pressure
Ukrainian military intelligence revealed that Russia can launch up to 100 ballistic missiles per month and sustain this through steady production. This situation has further increased the pressure on Kyiv's air defense stocks.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky describes ballistic missiles as one of the most dangerous threats to his country and urges allies to accelerate shipments of Patriot systems and interceptor missiles. At a joint press conference with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, Zelensky said that Iran is currently at the top of the agenda, while Ukraine is waiting in line amid wars.
Germany's role and limited stocks in Europe
Germany approved a 4 billion euro military aid package for Ukraine in April. This package also includes funding for hundreds of Patriot missiles. However, these deliveries are expected between 2027 and 2029.
The missiles Ukraine needs today are PAC-3 interceptors capable of reliably hitting ballistic targets. This model is currently produced only under license by Raytheon in the USA and Mitsubishi Heavy Industries in Japan. It is stated that Patriot stocks in Europe are shrinking and finding new shipments is becoming difficult.
According to sources speaking to Bloomberg, Germany is the only country within the European Union that can make a significant contribution to Ukraine's Patriot inventory. Therefore, Berlin's decision is seen as critical for Kyiv's air defense capacity.
Japan and the production option
Ukraine also requested permission to produce PAC-3 missiles under license if direct deliveries prove insufficient. This option stands out as an important item in Kyiv's long-term defense plan.
In Japan, some lawmakers have called for approval of PAC-3 exports to Kyiv, describing Russia's ongoing ballistic attacks as extraordinary circumstances. However, the Japanese government has stated that it is not currently considering the export of Patriot missiles to Ukraine.
Ukraine's Ambassador to Washington, Olha Stefanishyna, also said last week that the capacity to stop ballistic missiles lies only with the US government and emphasized that they can pay for additional Patriot systems and missiles.
Germany's response to the request and the possible delivery schedule appear poised to be one of the decisive issues on Kyiv's air defense front in the coming days.