The World Meteorological Organization, part of the United Nations, has issued a new warning regarding the El Nino weather phenomenon caused by the warming of surface waters in the Tropical Pacific. According to the organization, the probability of El Nino emerging between June and August has reached 80%.
The same assessment stated that the likelihood of El Nino will rise to 90% after this period. The organization called on countries to strengthen early warning systems.
Highlights
- The probability of El Nino occurring during the June-August period was announced as 80%.
- This probability is expected to increase to 90% after the specified date.
- The WMO called on countries to strengthen early warning systems.
- According to the organization, the process may bring above-average temperatures in many regions.
- It was emphasized that agriculture, energy, trade, and water resources could be affected.
Expectation of above-average temperatures
The statement included a warning that El Nino could bring above-average temperatures and more extreme weather events almost everywhere. It was reported that temperature measurements in the Tropical Pacific are also above average.
According to the organization, this situation carries the risk of causing destructive effects. Therefore, it was emphasized that early warning mechanisms need to be strengthened.
Guterres: An urgent climate warning
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said in a video message sent to a press conference held in Geneva that the world should treat this development as an urgent climate warning. Guterres stated that El Nino conditions would fan the flames of a warming world.
Guterres expressed that the only effective response is climate action equivalent to the crisis. He called for ending dependence on fossil fuels, accelerating the transition to renewable energy, protecting the most vulnerable groups, and establishing early warning systems for everyone.
Areas affected by El Nino
WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo said that El Nino deeply affects many areas such as agriculture, energy, trade, and water resources. Saulo pointed out that this phenomenon is one of the main driving forces of global weather and climate models.
According to Saulo, the impact of El Nino goes far beyond its origin in the Pacific Ocean and can affect livelihoods in all regions. It was also emphasized that advanced seasonal forecasts and early warnings are vital to reduce loss of life and mitigate economic impacts.
Saulo stated that thanks to scientific knowledge and investments made by many countries, preparedness capacity has increased, but in addition to El Nino, increasingly frequent extreme natural events also require more investment.
Context: El Nino is among the important climate events affecting global weather patterns and can cause consequences such as drought, excessive rainfall, and production losses along with temperature increases.